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If the closing price of the S&P 500 (SPY) on June 4, 2026, is higher than the closing price of the S&P 500 (SPY) on the previous trading day, this market will turn "Up." If the closing price of the S&P 500 (SPY) on June 4, 2026, is lower than the closing price of the S&P 500 (SPY) on the previous trading day, this market will turn "Down." For example, on a typical Monday, a market refers to the previous Friday’s closing price.
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95% of Polymarket users lose money long-term. The 5% who profit follow systematic strategies. This guide reveals the 10 professional methods used by profitable traders — backed by data, not guesswork.
Kalshi and Polymarket are the two giants of prediction markets in 2026. One is CFTC-regulated and US-only; the other is global, onchain, and Polygon-based. Which is right for you? This deep comparison covers every dimension.
Polymarket'te kullanıcıların %95'i para kaybediyor. Geri kalan %5 ise tutarlı kâr ediyor. Aradaki fark şans değil — disiplinli strateji. Bu rehberde profesyonel trader'ların kullandığı 7 ana yöntemi adım adım anlatıyoruz.