2026 World Cup Odds: Who Will Win the FIFA World Cup?

The 2026 FIFA World Cup — co-hosted by the United States, Canada and Mexico across June and July 2026 — is the first 48-team edition and the single most-traded sports event in global prediction markets this year. The headline question is simple: what are the 2026 World Cup odds, and who is the market backing to lift the trophy? This guide breaks down the winner board and shows you how to read the live probabilities instead of guessing from pundit lists.

The favourites

A handful of nations dominate the top of the World Cup winner market. The usual heavyweights — the reigning and former champions and the deepest squads in Europe and South America — carry the shortest odds, but in a 48-team format with more knockout rounds, even the favourites rarely clear 20% implied probability. That is exactly why the market is interesting: no single nation is a runaway lock, so value is everywhere. Compare the full board on the World Cup topic page, where every contender is listed as a clean Yes/No probability that updates live.

Dark horses and value picks

The expanded field rewards depth. Nations that would once have been eliminated in qualifying now reach the group stage, and a favourable draw can carry a mid-tier side deep into the knockouts. Prediction markets price this continuously — when a team looks strong in warm-up fixtures, its winner odds tighten within hours. Watching the live winner board is the fastest way to spot a side the market is starting to back before the headlines catch up.

How the 2026 format changes the odds

• 48 teams, 12 groups — more matches, more variance, and more chances for an upset to reshape a bracket.
• Three host nations — home advantage and travel logistics matter across a continent-sized tournament.
• A longer knockout path — the winner must survive more rounds, which keeps even strong favourites under 20%.

Beyond the winner: goalscorers and groups

The trophy is only one market. For the race to finish as tournament top scorer, see our World Cup top goalscorer odds guide. For the group-by-group picture — who advances and who wins each group — read the World Cup group-stage predictions. And for every individual fixture as the tournament unfolds, the live match markets are in the SezgiX sportsbook.

How to read and trade the 2026 World Cup odds on SezgiX

SezgiX lists each World Cup question as a simple Yes/No market with a continuously-updated, money-backed probability. You can follow the winner odds for free, or open a position: create an account (no KYC), deposit USDC, pick Yes or No, and confirm. There is 0% commission — you only pay a minimal market spread. As the tournament starts, live match markets appear automatically in the sportsbook with real-time odds.

FAQ

Who is the favourite for the 2026 World Cup? The shortest-odds nations sit at the top of the live winner board — open it for the current number, which moves with form and the draw.

When is the 2026 World Cup? June to July 2026, hosted across the USA, Canada and Mexico — the first 48-team edition.

Where can I see live World Cup match odds? In the SezgiX sportsbook, where each fixture is listed with live result, over/under and other markets.