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Oil is where geopolitics and money collide. A single headline out of the Strait of Hormuz — the chokepoint for roughly a fifth of the world's seaborne crude — can move prices faster than any analyst can react. Prediction markets turn each question into a live, money-backed probability: will crude close above a level, will OPEC change course, will the strait stay open. The markets below let you read how participants are actually pricing supply risk, rather than guessing from commentary. Follow them for free or take a position in USDC at 0% commission.