Event Contracts Explained: How They Work (2026)
A clear explainer on event contracts — what they are, how they price outcomes, and how they relate to prediction markets.
A clear explainer on event contracts — what they are, how they price outcomes, and how they relate to prediction markets.
An event contract is a simple yes/no agreement tied to a real-world outcome: will inflation rise, will a team win, will a candidate be elected. This guide explains how event contracts work in 2026 and how they relate to prediction markets.
Each contract asks a precise question with a clear resolution rule. You take the Yes or No side at a price between $0.01 and $0.99. That price is the implied probability. When the event resolves, the correct side is worth $1.
Unlike a fixed-odds bet, an event contract trades continuously: the price moves as the probability changes and you can exit any time before resolution. This makes them closer to financial instruments than to a one-and-done wager.
Regulated US venues like Kalshi specialise in them — see what is Kalshi. Global, KYC-free platforms like SezgiX offer the same yes/no mechanics across crypto, politics and finance — see live markets.
Effectively yes — event contracts are the instruments traded on prediction markets. Learn the basics in what is a prediction market.
No. You can trade out early as the price moves.
SezgiX is a global, KYC-free prediction market. Trade crypto, stocks, sports and world events with USDC, start with a $10 demo balance, and enjoy provably-fair settlement. Browse live markets or explore the blog.
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