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Este mercado se resolverá como «Sí» si China lanza un misil balístico entre la creación del mercado y el 31 de diciembre de 2026 a las 23:59 h (hora del Este). De lo contrario, este mercado se resolverá como «No». Solo los lanzamientos de misiles balísticos, incluidos los misiles balísticos intercontinentales (ICBM), los misiles balísticos lanzados desde submarinos (SLBM) y los misiles balísticos antibuque, contarán a efectos de una resolución «Sí». Los lanzamientos de otros sistemas, como misiles de crucero, misiles antiaéreos (SAM), sistemas MLRS o artillería de cohetes, torpedos, etc., no se tendrán en cuenta para una resolución de «Sí». La resolución del mercado se basará en información disponible públicamente procedente de fuentes fiables, como comunicados oficiales del Gobierno, informes de organismos internacionales de supervisión como las Naciones Unidas o informes de medios de comunicación internacionales de prestigio.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if China launches a ballistic missile between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only launches of ballistic missiles, including intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs), and ballistic anti-ship missiles, will qualify toward a Yes resolution. Launches of other systems such as cruise missiles, SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Prices reflect the market's implied probability of each outcome and update as people trade. Settlement is in USDC with 0% commission. Predictions carry risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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