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Si entre la fecha de creación del mercado y el 31 de diciembre de 2026 a las 23:59 ET se produce una erupción volcánica natural con un Índice de Erupción Volcánica (VEI) de 6 o superior, este mercado se resolverá como «Sí». De lo contrario, este mercado se clasificará en la posición 1. La fuente de información principal será el Programa de Vulcanismo Global (GVP: https://volcano.si.edu/) del Instituto Smithsonian, en concreto la cifra de VEI 6 para 2026 publicada actualmente en la página titulada «Eruptions Av».
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Piyasanın oluşturulduğu tarih ile 31 Aralık 2026, 23:59 ET arasında Volkanik Patlama İndeksi (VEI) 6 veya daha yüksek olan doğal bir volkanik patlama meydana gelirse bu piyasa "Evet" olarak karar verecektir. Aksi takdirde bu pazar 1. sıraya yerleşecek. Birincil çözüm kaynağı, Smithsonian Enstitüsü Küresel Volkanizma Programı (GVP: https://volcano.si.edu/), özellikle şu anda "Eruptions Av" başlıklı sayfada yayınlanan 2026 VEI 6 rakamı olacaktır.
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