Este mercado se resolverá a Sí si Irán coincide con un país árabe a través de una acción militar calificativa entre la creación del mercado y la fecha lista, Arabia Standard Time (AST). Este mercado se resolverá a No. Los países árabes calificados son los siguientes: Arabia Saudita, Argelia, Bahrein, Comoras, Djibouti, Egipto, Iraq, Jordania, Kuwait, Líbano, Libia, Mauritania, Marruecos, Omán, Qatar, Somalia, Sudán, Siria, Túnez, Emiratos Árabes Unidos y Yemen. Una acción militar calificada se refiere a un aire o a un misil de superficie a superficie, lanzado por Irán, dirigido a un país árabe calificado. Un aire incluye bombas de ataque, misiles aire a superficie y drones sin aire. Un misil de superficie a superficie incluye drones de ataque de una sola vía y misiles de superficie a superficie como el cr

Comisión de la plataforma: 2%. Haz clic en una opción para realizar una predicción.
Selecciona una de las opciones anteriores
This market will resolve to Yes if Iran targets an Arab country through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to No. Qualifying Arab countries are as follows: Algeria, Bahrain, Comoros, Djibouti, Egypt, Iraq, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Mauritania, Morocco, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Somalia, Sudan, Syria, Tunisia, the United Arab Emirates, and Yemen. A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at a qualifying Arab country. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles. The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire a
Prices reflect the market's implied probability of each outcome and update as people trade. Settlement is in USDC with 0% commission. Predictions carry risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose.
What SezgiX is, how its short-duration crypto markets work, why event markets resolve against primary sources, and how a single USDC balance covers crypto, politics and sport.
95% of Polymarket users lose money long-term. The 5% who profit follow systematic strategies. This guide reveals the 10 professional methods used by profitable traders — backed by data, not guesswork.
Kalshi and Polymarket are the two giants of prediction markets in 2026. One is CFTC-regulated and US-only; the other is global, onchain, and Polygon-based. Which is right for you? This deep comparison covers every dimension.