Este mercado se resolverá con un «Sí» si, según el mapa del ISW, Rusia captura la totalidad de Kupiansk antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026, a las 23:59 h (hora del Este). Se considerará que Kupiansk ha sido capturada si la totalidad del municipio aparece sombreada en rojo en el mapa del ISW (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) en la fecha de resolución. Si el área no está sombreada en rojo antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026 a las 11:59 p. m. ET, el mercado se resolverá como «No». El territorio del municipio aparece sombreado en gris claro y se distingue de los municipios colindantes, como «Moskovka», mediante una línea gris más oscura. Si toda el área dentro del municipio está sombreada en rojo, pero el sombreado no coincide exactamente con la frontera, de modo que haya una pequeña franja gris a lo largo de la frontera de la ciudad, esto seguirá siendo válido.

Comisión de la plataforma: 2%. Haz clic en una opción para realizar una predicción.
Selecciona una de las opciones anteriores
This market will resolve to Yes if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Kupiansk by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Kupiansk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to No. The territory of the municipality is shaded in light grey and is distinguished from bordering municipalities such as "Moskovka" with a darker grey line. If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, but the shading does not precisely match up with the border, such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this markets resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle
Prices reflect the market's implied probability of each outcome and update as people trade. Settlement is in USDC with a transparent 2% platform fee shown before confirmation. Predictions carry risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose.
What SezgiX is, how its short-duration crypto markets work, why event markets resolve against primary sources, and how a single USDC balance covers crypto, politics and sport.
95% of Polymarket users lose money long-term. The 5% who profit follow systematic strategies. This guide reveals the 10 professional methods used by profitable traders — backed by data, not guesswork.
Kalshi and Polymarket are the two giants of prediction markets in 2026. One is CFTC-regulated and US-only; the other is global, onchain, and Polygon-based. Which is right for you? This deep comparison covers every dimension.