Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...? — Market Details

This market will resolve to Yes if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Current outcome probabilities

December 31, 202619.5%
October 31, 202613.5%
September 30, 20266.5%

Category:: POLITICS
Closes:: January 1, 2027

Prices reflect the market's implied probability of each outcome and update as people trade. Settlement is in USDC with a transparent 2% platform fee shown before confirmation. Predictions carry risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose.