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What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? — Market Details

Rules

Current outcome probabilities

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium17.5%
Iran Reconstruction Funding17.0%
Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)13.5%
Dilution of Iran's Uranium13.5%
≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)12.5%
Enriched Uranium Surrender5.5%

Category:: POLITICS
Closes:: December 31, 2026

Prices reflect the market's implied probability of each outcome and update as people trade. Settlement is in USDC with a transparent 2% platform fee shown before confirmation. Predictions carry risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose.

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