Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027? — Market Details

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

Current outcome probabilities

Somaliland13.0%
Azerbaijan8.6%
Lebanon8.5%
Egypt8.3%
Saudi Arabia7.5%
Syria6.8%
Qatar6.3%
Jordan6.0%

Category:: POLITICS
Closes:: December 31, 2026

Prices reflect the market's implied probability of each outcome and update as people trade. Settlement is in USDC with 0% commission. Predictions carry risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose.