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Si une éruption volcanique naturelle d'indice d'éruption volcanique (VEI) 6 ou plus se produit entre la date de création du marché et le 31 décembre 2026 à 23 h 59 (heure de l'Est), ce marché sera jugé « Oui ». Dans le cas contraire, ce marché sera classé en 1re position. La source principale sera le Programme mondial sur le volcanisme (GVP : https://volcano.si.edu/) de l'Institut Smithsonian, en particulier le chiffre VEI 6 pour 2026 actuellement publié sur la page intitulée « Eruptions Av ».
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Piyasanın oluşturulduğu tarih ile 31 Aralık 2026, 23:59 ET arasında Volkanik Patlama İndeksi (VEI) 6 veya daha yüksek olan doğal bir volkanik patlama meydana gelirse bu piyasa "Evet" olarak karar verecektir. Aksi takdirde bu pazar 1. sıraya yerleşecek. Birincil çözüm kaynağı, Smithsonian Enstitüsü Küresel Volkanizma Programı (GVP: https://volcano.si.edu/), özellikle şu anda "Eruptions Av" başlıklı sayfada yayınlanan 2026 VEI 6 rakamı olacaktır.
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