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Ce marché se résoudra à Oui si l'Iran correspond à un pays arabe par une action militaire qualifiée entre la création du marché et la date indiquée, l'heure normale d'Arabie (EST). Ce marché sera résolu à No. Les pays arabes admissibles sont les suivants: Algérie, Arabie saoudite, Bahreïn, Comores, Djibouti, Égypte, Émirats arabes unis, Iraq, Jordanie, Koweït, Liban, Libye, Maroc, Mauritanie, Oman, Qatar, Somalie, Soudan, Syrie, Tunisie et Yémen. Une action militaire qualifiée désigne un avion ou un missile sol-sol lancé par l'Iran contre un pays arabe qualifié. Un avion comprend des bombes de frappe, des missiles air-sol et des drones lancés par l'air. Un missile surface-sol comprend des drones d'attaque à sens unique et des missiles surface-sol comme cr
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This market will resolve to Yes if Iran targets an Arab country through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to No. Qualifying Arab countries are as follows: Algeria, Bahrain, Comoros, Djibouti, Egypt, Iraq, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Mauritania, Morocco, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Somalia, Sudan, Syria, Tunisia, the United Arab Emirates, and Yemen. A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at a qualifying Arab country. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles. The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire a
Prices reflect the market's implied probability of each outcome and update as people trade. Settlement is in USDC with 0% commission. Predictions carry risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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