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Ce marché donnera lieu à un « Oui » si l'Iran attaque les Émirats arabes unis par le biais d'une action militaire éligible entre la création du marché et la date indiquée, heure standard du Golfe (GST). Dans le cas contraire, ce marché donnera lieu à un « Non ». Une action militaire éligible désigne une frappe aérienne ou un tir de missile sol-sol, lancé par l’Iran et dirigé contre les Émirats arabes unis. Une frappe aérienne comprend les bombes, les missiles air-sol et les drones lancés depuis les airs. Une frappe par missile sol-sol comprend les drones d’attaque à usage unique et les missiles sol-sol tels que les missiles de croisière ou balistiques. Les actions suivantes ne constituent pas une action militaire éligible : les frappes de missiles sol-air ; les tirs d’armes légères ; les incursions terrestres ; les cyberopérations ; les tirs navals et les tirs d’artillerie ; les obusiers, l’artil
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This market will resolve to Yes if Iran targets the United Arab Emirates through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Gulf Standard Time (GST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to No. A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at the United Arab Emirates. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles. The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or
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