Ce marché résout « Oui » si l'altitude quotidienne d'achat enregistrée au lac Mead (Hoover Dam, site USBR) entre la création du marché et le 31 mars 2027 tombe sous 1 028,00 pieds. Ce marché résout "non". À titre de référence, 1,025 pieds est l'équivalent en dessous duquel le bassin du cours inférieur du Colorado entre dans son niveau de pénurie le plus agréablement déclaré (niveau 3). La décision est déterminée par l'altitude quotidienne appropriée enregistrée au lac Mead (barrage Hoover, site USBR) entre la création du marché et le 31 mars 2027. Lorsqu'une lecture inférieure peut se produire à tout moment jusqu'au 31 mars 2027, toutes les cartes sont effectuées après la fermeture de la fenêtre, en fonction de l'élimination quotidienne dans la fenêtre. La source de résolution est la laque quotidienne minimale par le U.S. Bureau of Reclamation pour le lac Mead a
Commission plateforme : 2%. Cliquez sur une option pour prédire.
Sélectionnez une option ci-dessus
This market resolves "Yes" if the lowest daily elevation recorded at Lake Mead (Hoover Dam, USBR site) between market creation and March 31, 2027 falls below 1,028.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No." For reference, 1,025 feet is the threshold below which the Lower Colorado River Basin enters its most severe declared shortage tier (Tier 3). Resolution is determined by the lowest daily elevation recorded at Lake Mead (Hoover Dam, USBR site) between market creation and March 31, 2027. Because a lower reading can occur at any point up to March 31, 2027, all outcomes are settled after the window closes, based on the lowest daily elevation recorded during the window. The resolution source is the minimum daily lake elevation published by the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation for Lake Mead at Hoover Dam, available at https://data.usbr.gov/catalog/4370/item/6123. USBR data is provisional and subject to revision; the lowest daily elevation reflected in USBR data as of April 15, 2027 govern
Prices reflect the market's implied probability of each outcome and update as people trade. Settlement is in USDC with a transparent 2% platform fee shown before confirmation. Predictions carry risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose.
What SezgiX is, how its short-duration crypto markets work, why event markets resolve against primary sources, and how a single USDC balance covers crypto, politics and sport.
95% of Polymarket users lose money long-term. The 5% who profit follow systematic strategies. This guide reveals the 10 professional methods used by profitable traders — backed by data, not guesswork.
Kalshi and Polymarket are the two giants of prediction markets in 2026. One is CFTC-regulated and US-only; the other is global, onchain, and Polygon-based. Which is right for you? This deep comparison covers every dimension.