Ce pari sera considéré comme gagné si, d'après la carte de l'ISW, la Russie s'empare de l'intégralité de Kupiansk avant le 31 décembre 2026, à 23 h 59 (heure de l'Est). Kupiansk sera considérée comme capturée si l'ensemble de la municipalité est coloré en rouge sur la carte de l'ISW (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) à la date de règlement. Si la zone n'est pas colorée en rouge au 31 décembre 2026, 23 h 59 (heure de l'Est), le marché sera réglé sur « Non ». Le territoire de la municipalité est ombré en gris clair et est distingué des municipalités limitrophes telles que « Moskovka » par une ligne gris foncé. Si toute la zone située à l'intérieur de la municipalité est ombrée en rouge, mais que l'ombrage ne correspond pas exactement à la frontière, de sorte qu'il y a une petite partie grise le long de la frontière de la ville, cela sera tout de même considéré comme valable.

Commission plateforme : 2%. Cliquez sur une option pour prédire.
Sélectionnez une option ci-dessus
This market will resolve to Yes if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Kupiansk by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Kupiansk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to No. The territory of the municipality is shaded in light grey and is distinguished from bordering municipalities such as "Moskovka" with a darker grey line. If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, but the shading does not precisely match up with the border, such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this markets resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle
Prices reflect the market's implied probability of each outcome and update as people trade. Settlement is in USDC with a transparent 2% platform fee shown before confirmation. Predictions carry risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose.
What SezgiX is, how its short-duration crypto markets work, why event markets resolve against primary sources, and how a single USDC balance covers crypto, politics and sport.
95% of Polymarket users lose money long-term. The 5% who profit follow systematic strategies. This guide reveals the 10 professional methods used by profitable traders — backed by data, not guesswork.
Kalshi and Polymarket are the two giants of prediction markets in 2026. One is CFTC-regulated and US-only; the other is global, onchain, and Polygon-based. Which is right for you? This deep comparison covers every dimension.