Questo mercato si risolverà a Sì se ChatGPT di OpenAI esperienze qualsiasi incidente classificato come 'Full Outage' a partire dal tempo spinta è necessaria come Risolto tra la creazione di mercato e la data elencata (ET). Questo mercato si risolverà a No. Verrà considerato solo l'elenco degli incidenti ChatGPT sotto 'componenti interessati'. Incidenti etichettati come che interessano 'API,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' o 'Ads Platform,' ma non ChatGPT, non avrà alcun senso sulla risoluzione di questo mercato. Le classificazioni di un incidente mentre la spinta non avrà alcun peso sulla risoluzione di questo mercato. Le uniche classificazioni di eventi che saranno considerati. Gli incidenti di qualificazione includono salviette e altri problemi classificati come 'Full Outage' quando si trovano, durante il periodo di tempo sopra specificato di questo mercato. .

Commissione piattaforma: 2%. Clicca un'opzione per prevedere.
Seleziona un'opzione sopra
This market will resolve to Yes if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as Resolved between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to No. Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered. Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe. An incident resolved outside this markets timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this markets resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as Resolved,
Prices reflect the market's implied probability of each outcome and update as people trade. Settlement is in USDC with 0% commission. Predictions carry risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose.
What SezgiX is, how its short-duration crypto markets work, why event markets resolve against primary sources, and how a single USDC balance covers crypto, politics and sport.
95% of Polymarket users lose money long-term. The 5% who profit follow systematic strategies. This guide reveals the 10 professional methods used by profitable traders — backed by data, not guesswork.
Kalshi and Polymarket are the two giants of prediction markets in 2026. One is CFTC-regulated and US-only; the other is global, onchain, and Polygon-based. Which is right for you? This deep comparison covers every dimension.