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Questo mercato si risolverà con un "Sì" se la Cina lancerà un missile balistico tra la creazione del mercato e il 31 dicembre 2026, alle 23:59 ET. In caso contrario, questo mercato si risolverà con un "No". Solo i lanci di missili balistici, inclusi i missili balistici intercontinentali (ICBM), i missili balistici lanciati da sottomarini (SLBM) e i missili balistici anti-nave, saranno considerati ai fini di una risoluzione "Sì". I lanci di altri sistemi, quali missili da crociera, missili antiaerei (SAM), sistemi MLRS/artiglieria a razzo, siluri, ecc., non saranno considerati ai fini di un esito «Sì». La risoluzione del mercato si baserà su informazioni di dominio pubblico provenienti da fonti affidabili, quali dichiarazioni ufficiali dei governi, rapporti di organismi di monitoraggio internazionali come le Nazioni Unite o notizie riportate da media internazionali autorevoli.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if China launches a ballistic missile between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only launches of ballistic missiles, including intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs), and ballistic anti-ship missiles, will qualify toward a Yes resolution. Launches of other systems such as cruise missiles, SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Prices reflect the market's implied probability of each outcome and update as people trade. Settlement is in USDC with a transparent 2% platform fee shown before confirmation. Predictions carry risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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