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Questo mercato avrà esito "Sì" se il prossimo modello Gemini Flash di Google (3.8+) verrà reso disponibile al pubblico tra la creazione del mercato e la data specificata (ET). In caso contrario, questo mercato avrà esito "No". Un modello idoneo deve avere un nome o un identificativo che includa “Gemini”, essere denominato "Flash" anziché "Flash-Lite", essere posizionato come modello Gemini Flash di Google di uso generale e designato come versione 3.8 o superiore, indipendentemente dall’uso delle maiuscole o da prefissi, suffissi, date o descrittori adiacenti. Ad esempio, una versione 3.8 o superiore denominata allo stesso modo di Gemini 3.6 Flash o Gemini 3.7 Flash sarebbe idonea, compresa una nuova generazione con numero intero come Gemini 4 Flash, mentre i modelli etichettati come "Flash-Lite" o che mantengono una designazione di versione inferiore a 3.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flas
Prices reflect the market's implied probability of each outcome and update as people trade. Settlement is in USDC with 0% commission. Predictions carry risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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