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Questo mercato avrà esito “Sì” se l’Iran attaccherà gli Emirati Arabi Uniti mediante un’azione militare qualificante tra il momento della creazione del mercato e la data indicata, secondo l’ora standard del Golfo (GST). In caso contrario, questo mercato avrà esito “No”. Per «azione militare qualificante» si intende un attacco aereo o un attacco con missili terra-terra, sferrato dall’Iran e diretto contro gli Emirati Arabi Uniti. Un attacco aereo comprende bombe, missili aria-terra e droni lanciati dall’aria. Un attacco con missili terra-terra comprende droni da attacco monouso e missili terra-terra quali missili da crociera o balistici. Le seguenti azioni non costituiscono un’azione militare qualificante: Attacchi con missili terra-aria; Fuoco di armi leggere; Incursioni terrestri; Operazioni informatiche; Fuoco navale e fuoco di artiglieria; Obiettori, artigl
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This market will resolve to Yes if Iran targets the United Arab Emirates through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Gulf Standard Time (GST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to No. A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at the United Arab Emirates. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles. The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or
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