Questo mercato avrà esito positivo se, secondo la mappa dell'ISW, la Russia conquisterà l'intero territorio di Kupiansk entro il 31 dicembre 2026 alle 23:59 ET. Kupiansk sarà considerata conquistata se l'intero territorio comunale sarà colorato in rosso sulla mappa dell'ISW (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) entro la data di risoluzione. Se l'area non sarà colorata in rosso entro il 31 dicembre 2026, alle 23:59 ET, il mercato si risolverà con un "No". Il territorio del comune è colorato in grigio chiaro ed è distinto dai comuni confinanti, come "Moskovka", da una linea grigio scuro. Se l'intera area all'interno del comune è colorata in rosso, ma la colorazione non coincide esattamente con il confine, in modo tale che vi sia una piccola porzione di grigio lungo il confine della città, ciò sarà comunque considerato valido

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This market will resolve to Yes if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Kupiansk by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Kupiansk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to No. The territory of the municipality is shaded in light grey and is distinguished from bordering municipalities such as "Moskovka" with a darker grey line. If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, but the shading does not precisely match up with the border, such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this markets resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle
Prices reflect the market's implied probability of each outcome and update as people trade. Settlement is in USDC with a transparent 2% platform fee shown before confirmation. Predictions carry risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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