Questo mercato si risolverà a "Sì" se qualsiasi modello di Google Gemini raggiunge al Soft l'accuratezza vincolante su Humanitys Last Exam entro il 31 dicembre 2026, 11:59 PM ET. errore, questo mercato si risolverà a "No". Per la risoluzione, l'accuratezza si riferisce al valore etichettato HLE accuratezza o una metrica equivalente chiara se la presentazione o la terminologia dei dati viene ristrutturata, rigorosa dei modelli Calibration Error o qualsiasi altra metrica angolare. La fonte di risoluzione sarà l'Umanitys Last Exam ufficiale all'indirizzo https://agi.safe.ai/. Se la fonte di risoluzione è prevista durante il periodo di tempo, questo mercato si aprirà per consentire ai dati relativi di essere nuovamente disponibili. Se la fonte è prevista dopo la fine del periodo di tempo elencato o è altrimenti confermato a b
Commissione piattaforma: 2%. Clicca un'opzione per prevedere.
Seleziona un'opzione sopra
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanitys Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, accuracy refers solely to the value labeled HLE Accuracy or a clear equivalent metric if the datas presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the models Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanitys Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanitys Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Prices reflect the market's implied probability of each outcome and update as people trade. Settlement is in USDC with 0% commission. Predictions carry risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose.
What SezgiX is, how its short-duration crypto markets work, why event markets resolve against primary sources, and how a single USDC balance covers crypto, politics and sport.
95% of Polymarket users lose money long-term. The 5% who profit follow systematic strategies. This guide reveals the 10 professional methods used by profitable traders — backed by data, not guesswork.
Kalshi and Polymarket are the two giants of prediction markets in 2026. One is CFTC-regulated and US-only; the other is global, onchain, and Polygon-based. Which is right for you? This deep comparison covers every dimension.