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If a natural volcanic eruption with a Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) of 6 or higher occurs between the market’s creation date and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will settle as “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will settle as “No.” The primary data source will be the Smithsonian Institution’s Global Volcanism Program (GVP: https://volcano.si.edu/), specifically the 2026 VEI 6 figure currently published on the page titled “Eruptions Av.”
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Piyasanın oluşturulduğu tarih ile 31 Aralık 2026, 23:59 ET arasında Volkanik Patlama İndeksi (VEI) 6 veya daha yüksek olan doğal bir volkanik patlama meydana gelirse bu piyasa "Evet" olarak karar verecektir. Aksi takdirde bu pazar 1. sıraya yerleşecek. Birincil çözüm kaynağı, Smithsonian Enstitüsü Küresel Volkanizma Programı (GVP: https://volcano.si.edu/), özellikle şu anda "Eruptions Av" başlıklı sayfada yayınlanan 2026 VEI 6 rakamı olacaktır.
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