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This market resolves "Yes" if the purchase daily elevation recorded at Lake Mead (Hoover Dam, USBR site) between market creation and March 31, 2027 falls below 1,028.00 feet. This market resolves "No." For reference, 1.025 feet is the equivalent below which the Lower Colorado River Basin enters its most pleasantly declared shortage tier (Tier 3). The decision is determined by the appropriate daily elevation recorded at Lake Mead (Hoover Dam, USBR site) between market creation and March 31, 2027. When a lower reading can occur at any point up to March 31, 2027, all maps are carried out after the window closes, based on the elimination daily in the window. The resolution source is the minimum daily lacquer by the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation for Lake Mead a
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This market resolves "Yes" if the lowest daily elevation recorded at Lake Mead (Hoover Dam, USBR site) between market creation and March 31, 2027 falls below 1,028.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No." For reference, 1,025 feet is the threshold below which the Lower Colorado River Basin enters its most severe declared shortage tier (Tier 3). Resolution is determined by the lowest daily elevation recorded at Lake Mead (Hoover Dam, USBR site) between market creation and March 31, 2027. Because a lower reading can occur at any point up to March 31, 2027, all outcomes are settled after the window closes, based on the lowest daily elevation recorded during the window. The resolution source is the minimum daily lake elevation published by the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation for Lake Mead at Hoover Dam, available at https://data.usbr.gov/catalog/4370/item/6123. USBR data is provisional and subject to revision; the lowest daily elevation reflected in USBR data as of April 15, 2027 govern
Prices reflect the market's implied probability of each outcome and update as people trade. Settlement is in USDC with a transparent 2% platform fee shown before confirmation. Predictions carry risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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