Loading…
If any Anthropic Claude model obtains at least specified accuracy in the Final Exam of Humanity at least as of 31 December 2026, 23:59 ET, this market will decide as "Yes". Otherwise this market will decide "No". Accuracy in terms of solution, regardless of the model Calibration Error or any other measurement displayed, only HLE Accuracy refers to the label value or an open equivalent metrie if data presentation or terminology are reconfigured. There
Platform fee: 2%. Click an option to make a prediction.
%2 platform fee
Select an option above
Herhangi bir Antropik Claude modeli, 31 Aralık 2026, 23:59 ET itibarıyla İnsanlığın Son Sınavında en azından belirtilen doğruluğu elde ederse, bu pazar "Evet" olarak karar verecektir. Aksi takdirde bu piyasa "Hayır"a karar verecektir. Çözümleme açısından doğruluk, modelin Kalibrasyon Hatası veya görüntülenen diğer herhangi bir ölçümden bağımsız olarak, veri sunumu veya terminoloji yeniden yapılandırılırsa yalnızca HLE Doğruluğu etiketli değere veya açık bir eşdeğer metriğe atıfta bulunur. Orada
Prices reflect the market's implied probability of each outcome and update as people trade. Settlement is in USDC with 0% commission. Predictions carry risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose.
What SezgiX is, how its short-duration crypto markets work, why event markets resolve against primary sources, and how a single USDC balance covers crypto, politics and sport.
95% of Polymarket users lose money long-term. The 5% who profit follow systematic strategies. This guide reveals the 10 professional methods used by profitable traders — backed by data, not guesswork.
Kalshi and Polymarket are the two giants of prediction markets in 2026. One is CFTC-regulated and US-only; the other is global, onchain, and Polygon-based. Which is right for you? This deep comparison covers every dimension.