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This market will resolve to the number of natural volcanic eruptions with Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) of 4 or higher between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source will be the Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program (GVP: https://volcano.si.edu/), Specific the cumulative deadline for 2026 for VEI 4, VEI 5, and VEI 6 release on the page now called "Eruptions Avg 2000-2024 (N/T)" (https://volcano.si.edu/faq/index.cfm?question=eruptionsbyyear) as of March 31, 2027, 12 PM ET. Any prior updates will not be considered finalized. If this dataset has been updated to include all relevant events by March 31, 2027, or if the Smithsonian GVPides resulting in this market may resolve based on peer of cr
Prices reflect implied probabilities and change as people trade. Settlement is in USDC. The applicable platform fee is shown before confirmation. Predictions carry risk.
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