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This market will resolve to Yes if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures anywhere in Crimea by June 30, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered if any part of Crimean shaded blue on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Next, the market will resolve to No. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this markets resolution, the Desire shading indicating the Ukrainian control must be persistent through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must be persistent until the next finalized ISW update is published, excited of the date. Any continuous shading which leads to "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or Claimed Russian Counteroffe
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