Das Referendum der isländischen Mitglieder der Europäischen Union ist ein Wahlreferendum, in dem die Wähler gefragt werden, ob Island das Mitgliedsdiplom mit der Europäischen Union neu starten sollte. Dieses Referendum wird derzeit am 29. August 2026 abgehalten. Weitere Informationen zum Referendum finden Sie hier: https://regierung.is/topics/foreign-affairs/iceland-in-europe/referendum/. Dieser Markt wird sich für "Ja" entscheiden, wenn Island dieses Referendum verabschiedet. Fehler, dieser Markt wird zu "Nein" lösen. Wird die Wahl offiziell auf ein Datum vor dem 31. Dezember 2026, 11:59 Uhr ET umgeplant, so gilt das gleiche Roulette für die neue Wahl und deren Ende. Dieser Markt wird zu "nein" entscheiden, wenn kein qualifiziertes Referendum am 31. Dezember 2026, 11:59 Uhr ET gestimmt hat oder

Plattformgebühr: 2%. Klicken Sie auf eine Option für Prognosen.
Option oben auswählen
The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is a ballot referendum in which voters will be asked whether Iceland should restart membership negotiations with the European Union. This referendum is currently scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026. You can find more information about the referendum here: https://government.is/topics/foreign-affairs/iceland-in-europe/referendum/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland passes this referendum. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if such a referendum is scheduled to be held later than such date. The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the National Electoral Commission of
Prices reflect the market's implied probability of each outcome and update as people trade. Settlement is in USDC with 0% commission. Predictions carry risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose.
What SezgiX is, how its short-duration crypto markets work, why event markets resolve against primary sources, and how a single USDC balance covers crypto, politics and sport.
A data-driven look at the Trump 2028 odds — the Republican nomination, the general election, and the family names also in the race. Track live, market-implied probabilities.
Trump impeachment chatter has resurfaced with the new Congress. Prediction markets currently price impeachment probability at 12-18%. This analysis breaks down the actual likelihood using historical data, congressional math, and live market pricing.