Der Ausgang dieses Marktes hängt davon ab, wie oft Elon Musk (@elonmusk) vom 1. September, 12:00 Uhr ET, bis zum 8. September 2026, 12:00 Uhr ET, Beiträge auf X veröffentlicht. Für die Zwecke dieses Marktes zählen nur Beiträge im Hauptfeed, Zitatbeiträge und Reposts. Antworten werden NICHT zur Gesamtzahl hinzugerechnet – allerdings werden Antworten im Hauptfeed wie z. B. „https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576“ vom Tracker erfasst. Gelöschte Beiträge werden gezählt, solange sie lange genug verfügbar sind, um vom Tracker erfasst zu werden (~5 Minuten). Reposts aus der Community, die nicht vom Tracker gezählt werden, werden nicht zur Gesamtzahl hinzugerechnet. Die Quelle für die Auswertung dieses Marktes ist die Zahl des „Post Counters“ für Beiträge unter https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Einzelne Beiträge können durch Klicken auf „Daten exportieren“ eingesehen werden. Wenn die t

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 1 12:00 PM ET to September 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Prices reflect the market's implied probability of each outcome and update as people trade. Settlement is in USDC with 0% commission. Predictions carry risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose.
What SezgiX is, how its short-duration crypto markets work, why event markets resolve against primary sources, and how a single USDC balance covers crypto, politics and sport.
95% of Polymarket users lose money long-term. The 5% who profit follow systematic strategies. This guide reveals the 10 professional methods used by profitable traders — backed by data, not guesswork.
Kalshi and Polymarket are the two giants of prediction markets in 2026. One is CFTC-regulated and US-only; the other is global, onchain, and Polygon-based. Which is right for you? This deep comparison covers every dimension.