Haz tus predicciones en SezgiX. Regístrate ahora.
Cargando…
Este mercado se resolverá como «Sí» si Raúl Castro es detenido por el Gobierno de EE. UU. en cualquier momento antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026 a las 23:59 h (hora del Este). De lo contrario, este mercado se resolverá como «No». Se considerará que Raúl Castro ha sido puesto bajo custodia del Gobierno de EE. UU. si personal del Gobierno de EE. UU. (incluidos militares, la CIA, personal de otra agencia o contratistas que actúen bajo la autoridad directa del Gobierno de EE. UU.) detiene, arresta, captura o asume de cualquier otra forma el control físico de Raúl Castro, independientemente de la ubicación o la duración. Las visitas, las interacciones con personal del Gobierno de EE. UU. o la presencia de Raúl Castro en espacios estadounidenses (incluidos buques, bases, instalaciones o reuniones) de forma voluntaria y sin estar detenido no se considerarán válidas. Una entrega voluntaria al personal de EE. UU. en la que Raúl Castro se someta a U.
Comisión de la plataforma: 2%. Haz clic en una opción para realizar una predicción.
Selecciona una de las opciones anteriores
This market will resolve to Yes if Raul Castro is taken into U.S. government custody at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No. Raul Castro will be considered taken into U.S. government custody if U.S. government personnel (including military, CIA, personnel of another agency, or contractors acting under direct U.S. government authority) physically detain, arrest, capture, or otherwise assume physical custodial control of Raul Castro, regardless of location or duration. Visits, interactions with U.S. government personnel, or Raul Castros presence in U.S. spaces (including vessels, bases, facilities, or meetings) in a voluntary, non-detained capacity will not qualify. A voluntary surrender to U.S. personnel in which Raul Castro submits to U.S. custody, however, will qualify. Custody that is carried out by non-U.S. entities (including allied or partner forces) will not qualify unless U.S. personnel are physically present and themselves a
Prices reflect the market's implied probability of each outcome and update as people trade. Settlement is in USDC with a transparent 2% platform fee shown before confirmation. Predictions carry risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose.
What SezgiX is, how its short-duration crypto markets work, why event markets resolve against primary sources, and how a single USDC balance covers crypto, politics and sport.
A data-driven look at the Trump 2028 odds — the Republican nomination, the general election, and the family names also in the race. Track live, market-implied probabilities.
Trump impeachment chatter has resurfaced with the new Congress. Prediction markets currently price impeachment probability at 12-18%. This analysis breaks down the actual likelihood using historical data, congressional math, and live market pricing.