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Esta apuesta se resolverá como «Sí» si agentes de policía, fuerzas de seguridad o personal militar que no pertenezcan ni a Israel ni a ninguna entidad palestina inician una operación policial, militar, de mantenimiento de la paz y/o de seguridad oficialmente reconocida sobre el terreno en Gaza antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026 a las 23:59 h (hora del Este). De lo contrario, este mercado se resolverá como «No». Para que se cumpla la condición, el personal extranjero debe entrar físicamente en el territorio terrestre de la Franja de Gaza. La entrada en el territorio marítimo —como ocurrió durante el intento de EE. UU. de construir un muelle flotante en 2024— o la entrada en el espacio aéreo no se considerarán válidas. La entrada en zonas de amortiguación controladas por Israel tampoco se considerará válida. Las fuerzas egipcias u otras fuerzas que operen exclusivamente a lo largo de la frontera entre Egipto y Gaza no se considerarán válidas, independientemente de si cruzan la frontera. Personal extranjero
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if police officers, security forces, or military personnel belonging to neither Israel nor a Palestinian entity begin an officially acknowledged police, military, peacekeeping, and/or security operation on the ground within Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the USs attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify. Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify. Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border. Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify. Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one f
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