Cargando…
El 8 de octubre se anunció un acuerdo sobre una cesación del fuego inicial (Phase 1), que constituye un alto en los combates, una retirada israelí reservada a una línea amarilla, intercambios de prisioneros, tarifas ampliadas y la liberación de rehenes. Se espera que una segunda fase del acuerdo, o que vaya acompañada, se ocupe de la retirada israelí, el desarme de Hamas y la organización de la nueva seguridad y gobernanza en Gaza. Este mercado resolverá "Sí" si un acuerdo oficial para la segunda fase del alto el fuego de IsraelHamas, dicho como una amenaza de acuerdo mutuo, se disuelve entre Israel y Hamás para el 31 de diciembre de 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Este mercado se resolverá a No. Si el acuerdo es oficialmente accesible antes de la fecha de la resolución, este mercado resolverá "Sí"
Comisión de la plataforma: 2%. Haz clic en una opción para realizar una predicción.
%2 cuota de plataforma
Selecciona una de las opciones anteriores
On October 8, an agreement on an initial ceasefire (Phase 1) was announced, constituting a halt in fighting, a partial Israeli pullback to a yellow line, prisoner swaps, expanded aid, and the release of hostages. A second phase of the deal, yet to be negotiated, is expected to address further Israeli withdrawal, Hamass disarmament, and the establishment of new security and governance arrangements in Gaza. This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement for the second phase of the IsraelHamas ceasefire, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Israel and Hamas by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No. If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. For purposes of this market, a second phase ceasefire agreement refers to a deal publicly acknowledged by both Israel and Hamas (directly or via recognized me
Prices reflect the market's implied probability of each outcome and update as people trade. Settlement is in USDC with 0% commission. Predictions carry risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose.
What SezgiX is, how its short-duration crypto markets work, why event markets resolve against primary sources, and how a single USDC balance covers crypto, politics and sport.
A data-driven look at the Trump 2028 odds — the Republican nomination, the general election, and the family names also in the race. Track live, market-implied probabilities.
Trump impeachment chatter has resurfaced with the new Congress. Prediction markets currently price impeachment probability at 12-18%. This analysis breaks down the actual likelihood using historical data, congressional math, and live market pricing.