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Este mercado se resolverá como «Sí» si se produce un enfrentamiento militar entre las fuerzas armadas de Estados Unidos y Rusia entre el 6 de enero y el 31 de diciembre de 2026, a las 23:59 h (hora del Este). De lo contrario, este mercado se resolverá como «No». Se entiende por «enfrentamiento militar» cualquier incidente que implique el uso de la fuerza, como ataques con misiles, fuego de artillería, intercambio de disparos u otras formas de enfrentamiento militar directo entre las fuerzas armadas de Estados Unidos y Rusia. Las acciones no violentas, como las violaciones del espacio aéreo, los disparos de advertencia (como los enfrentamientos en el mar Negro de junio de 2021 entre las fuerzas rusas y el HMS Defender) o los ciberataques, no se tendrán en cuenta. Las colisiones físicas intencionadas, incluidas las interceptaciones aéreas y las embestidas navales sin uso directo de armamento, como la del mar Negro de 2023 i
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Russia between January 6 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between U.S. and Russian military forces. Non-violent actions, such as airspace violations, firing of warning shots (such as the June, 2021 Black Sea Confrontations between Russian forces and HMS Defender), or cyberattacks will not qualify. Intentional physical collisions, including aerial interceptions and naval ramming without the direct use of weaponry, such as the 2023 Black Sea incidentwhere a Russian Su-27 damaged a U.S. MQ-9 Reaper drone's propeller, leading to its crash will not qualify regardless of damage. Military contractors will qualify only if confirmed to be opera
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