Este mercado resolverá el número de veces que Elon Musk (@elonmusk), los mensajes de X del 24 de agosto de 12:00 a 26 de agosto de 2026 12:00 ET. A los efectos de este mercado, sólo contarán los principales puestos de alimentación, los puestos de cotización y los reposts. Las respuestas NO contarán con respecto al total - Sin embargo, las respuestas a la alimentación principal como https://x.com/elonmusk/status/17860734787113576 serán contadas por el rastreador. Puestos eliminados contarán mientras permanezcan disponibles lo suficiente como para ser capturados por el rastreador (~5 minutos). Los repostes comunitarios que no son contados por el rastreador no cuentan hacia el total. La fuente de resolución para este mercado es la figura 'Post Counter' para los puestos encontrados en https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Los mensajes individuales se pueden ver haciendo clic en "Export Data". Si la pista

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 24 12:00 PM ET to August 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Prices reflect the market's implied probability of each outcome and update as people trade. Settlement is in USDC with 0% commission. Predictions carry risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose.
What SezgiX is, how its short-duration crypto markets work, why event markets resolve against primary sources, and how a single USDC balance covers crypto, politics and sport.
95% of Polymarket users lose money long-term. The 5% who profit follow systematic strategies. This guide reveals the 10 professional methods used by profitable traders — backed by data, not guesswork.
Kalshi and Polymarket are the two giants of prediction markets in 2026. One is CFTC-regulated and US-only; the other is global, onchain, and Polygon-based. Which is right for you? This deep comparison covers every dimension.