Haz tus predicciones en SezgiX. Regístrate ahora.
Cargando…
Este mercado se resolverá a Sí si, según el mapa de ISW, Rusia captura la estación de ferrocarril Lyman se encuentra en Vulytsya Pryvokzalna para el 31 de diciembre de 2026, a las 11:59 PM ET. La estación de ferrocarril se considerará si alguna parte del icono de la estación de tren está topada en rojo en el mapa del ISW (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) en la fecha de la resolución. Si el área no está tonificada roja para el 31 de diciembre de 2026, 11:59 PM ET, el mercado se resolverá a No. Para cualquier cambio en el mapa de ISW para calificar para esta resolución de mercados, el deseo de afeitar indicando el control ruso debe ser persistente a través del próximo ciclo completo de actualización diaria de ISW. Si ISW se salta un día, la sombra debe ser persistente hasta que se publique la próxima actualización ISW finalizada, emocionada de la fecha. Anhydrous shadin g
Comisión de la plataforma: 2%. Haz clic en una opción para realizar una predicción.
Selecciona una de las opciones anteriores
This market will resolve to Yes if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Lyman railroad station located on Vulytsya Pryvokzalna by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to No. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this markets resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either Assessed Russian Control, Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine, or Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours will qualify. Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine will no
Prices reflect the market's implied probability of each outcome and update as people trade. Settlement is in USDC with a transparent 2% platform fee shown before confirmation. Predictions carry risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose.
What SezgiX is, how its short-duration crypto markets work, why event markets resolve against primary sources, and how a single USDC balance covers crypto, politics and sport.
A data-driven look at the Trump 2028 odds — the Republican nomination, the general election, and the family names also in the race. Track live, market-implied probabilities.
Trump impeachment chatter has resurfaced with the new Congress. Prediction markets currently price impeachment probability at 12-18%. This analysis breaks down the actual likelihood using historical data, congressional math, and live market pricing.