SezgiX ile tahmin et, kazan! Hemen kayıt ol.
Cargando…
Este mercado se resolverá a Sí si Rusia coincide con Kiev a través de una acción militar calificativa en la fecha límite, hora de Kiev. Este mercado se resolverá a No. Una acción militar calificativa a un aire o ataque un misil de superficie a superficie, lanzado por Rusia, dirigido a Kiev. Un aire incluye bombas de ataque, misiles aire a superficie y drones sin aire. Un misil de superficie a superficie incluye drones de ataque de una sola vía y misiles de superficie a superficie como cruceros o misiles balísticos. Las siguientes acciones no mezclan una acción militar calificativa: Misiles de superficie a aire; Fuego de armas pequeñas; Incursiones terrestres; Operaciones cibernéticas; Disparos navales y disparos de artillería; Howitzers, artillery pieces, snacks, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Seaport
Comisión de la plataforma: 2%. Haz clic en una opción para realizar una predicción.
Selecciona una de las opciones anteriores
This market will resolve to Yes if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No. A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles. The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed. Military action that c
Prices reflect the market's implied probability of each outcome and update as people trade. Settlement is in USDC with a transparent 2% platform fee shown before confirmation. Predictions carry risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose.
What SezgiX is, how its short-duration crypto markets work, why event markets resolve against primary sources, and how a single USDC balance covers crypto, politics and sport.
A data-driven look at the Trump 2028 odds — the Republican nomination, the general election, and the family names also in the race. Track live, market-implied probabilities.
Trump impeachment chatter has resurfaced with the new Congress. Prediction markets currently price impeachment probability at 12-18%. This analysis breaks down the actual likelihood using historical data, congressional math, and live market pricing.