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Ce marché va se résoudre à "Oui" s'il y a une rencontre militaire entre les forces militaires des États-Unis et la Russie entre le 6 janvier et le 31 décembre 2026, 23:59 ET erreur, ce marché va se résoudre à "Non". Une « rencontre militaire » est définie comme tout incident impliquant l'emploi de la force comme des grévils, des tirs d'artillerie, des échanges de coups de feu ou d'autres formes d'engagement militaire direct entre les forces militaires américaines et russes. Des actions non violentes, telles que des violations de l'espace aérien, des tirs d'alerte (comme les affrontements de juin 2021 entre les forces russes et le HMS Defender) ou des cyberattaques ne seront pas admissibles. Anges physiques intentionnels, y compris les passions aériennes et les raids navals sans utilisation directe des armes à feu, comme la mer Noire en 2023 i
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Russia between January 6 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between U.S. and Russian military forces. Non-violent actions, such as airspace violations, firing of warning shots (such as the June, 2021 Black Sea Confrontations between Russian forces and HMS Defender), or cyberattacks will not qualify. Intentional physical collisions, including aerial interceptions and naval ramming without the direct use of weaponry, such as the 2023 Black Sea incidentwhere a Russian Su-27 damaged a U.S. MQ-9 Reaper drone's propeller, leading to its crash will not qualify regardless of damage. Military contractors will qualify only if confirmed to be opera
Prices reflect the market's implied probability of each outcome and update as people trade. Settlement is in USDC with a transparent 2% platform fee shown before confirmation. Predictions carry risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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