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Questo mercato avrà esito "Sì" se, tra la data di creazione del mercato e il 31 dicembre 2026 alle 23:59 ET, verrà raggiunto un accordo ufficiale tra gli Stati Uniti e la Federazione Russa in materia di controllo delle armi nucleari o di limitazione delle armi nucleari strategiche. In caso contrario, questo mercato avrà esito "No". Saranno considerati validi solo gli accordi annunciati pubblicamente e riconosciuti sia dagli Stati Uniti che dalla Russia. L’accordo dovrà riguardare il controllo o la limitazione delle armi nucleari – ad esempio un trattato, un accordo quadro o un memorandum – che affronti questioni quali (a titolo esemplificativo ma non esaustivo) testate nucleari, sistemi di lancio, meccanismi di verifica o stabilità strategica. Saranno ammessi anche una proroga, un emendamento o una sostituzione del trattato New START, a condizione che siano annunciati pubblicamente come accordo concluso da entrambe le parti entro il
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement on nuclear arms control or strategic nuclear weapons limitation is reached between the United States and the Russian Federation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No. Only agreements that are publicly announced and acknowledged by both the U.S. and Russia will qualify. The agreement must pertain to nuclear arms control or limitationsuch as a treaty, framework, or memorandumaddressing matters including (but not limited to) nuclear warheads, delivery systems, verification mechanisms, or strategic stability. An extension, amendment, or replacement of the New START treaty will qualify, provided it is publicly announced as a concluded agreement by both parties within the time frame. Exploratory discussions or stated intent to extend without a finalized agreement will not qualify. Agreements that include both the United States and Russia as named partieswhether bilate
Prices reflect the market's implied probability of each outcome and update as people trade. Settlement is in USDC with a transparent 2% platform fee shown before confirmation. Predictions carry risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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