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Questo mercato si risolverà a Sì se, secondo la mappa ISW, la Russia cattura millitarily l'intero di Donetsk Oblast entro la data vincolante, 11:59 PM ET. Donetsk Oblast sarà considerato quando l'insieme della leadership di seguito specificato è collegato a rosso ombreggiato sulla mappa ISW (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) entro la data di risoluzione. Se queste aree non sono mostrate rosse ombreggiate dalla data di risoluzione, questo mercato si risolverà a No. Il Relevant in Donetsk Oblast che deve essere visto nella loro interezza sono: Kramatorsk, Sloviansk, Kostiantynivka, Druzhkivka, Pokrovsk, Dobropillia, Oleksandrivka, Cherkaske e Sviatohirsk. Per qualsiasi cambiamento sulla mappa ISW per qualificarsi per questa risoluzione dei mercati, il
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This market will resolve to Yes if, according to the ISW map, Russia militarily captures the entirety of Donetsk Oblast by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Donetsk Oblast will be considered captured when the entirety of the below-specified municipalities is simultaneously shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If those areas are not simultaneously shaded red by the resolution date, this market will resolve to No. The relevant municipalities in Donetsk Oblast that must be simultaneously captured in their entirety are: Kramatorsk, Sloviansk, Kostiantynivka, Druzhkivka, Pokrovsk, Dobropillia, Oleksandrivka, Cherkaske, and Sviatohirsk. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this markets resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regard
Prices reflect the market's implied probability of each outcome and update as people trade. Settlement is in USDC with a transparent 2% platform fee shown before confirmation. Predictions carry risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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