With the creation of Sunday 31 December 2026, 23:59 ET between China (China Public Republic) and the Philippines will decide as a military encounter between military forces this market "Yes". Otherwise this market will decide "No". "Askeri encounter", close combat weapons, missile attacks, artillery fire, mutual weapons voices or any event that contains power usage such as other direct military intervention formats.

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With the creation of Sunday 31 December 2026, 23:59 ET between China (China Public Republic) and the Philippines will decide as a military encounter between military forces this market "Yes". Otherwise this market will decide "No". "Askeri encounter", close combat weapons, missile attacks, artillery fire, mutual weapons voices or any event that contains power usage such as other direct military intervention formats.
Prices reflect implied probabilities and change as people trade. Settlement is in USDC. The applicable platform fee is shown before confirmation. Predictions carry risk.
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