SezgiX ile tahmin et, kazan! Hemen kayıt ol.
Loading…
This market will resolve to Yes if Raul Castro is taken into U.S. government custody at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to No. Raul Castro will be considered into U.S. government custody if U.S. government freedom (including military, CIA, labor of another agency, or contractors acting under direct U.S. government authority) issues detain, arrest, capture, or otherwise physical custodial control of Raul Castro, location or duration. Visits, interactions with U.S. government freedom, or Raul Castros presence in U.S. spaces (including vessels, splits, facilities, or meetings) in peer, non-detained capacity will not qualify. Copyright © 2019 Raul Castro.s to U.S. All Rights Reserved.
Platform fee: 2%. Click an option to make a prediction.
Select an option above
This market will resolve to Yes if Raul Castro is taken into U.S. government custody at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No. Raul Castro will be considered taken into U.S. government custody if U.S. government personnel (including military, CIA, personnel of another agency, or contractors acting under direct U.S. government authority) physically detain, arrest, capture, or otherwise assume physical custodial control of Raul Castro, regardless of location or duration. Visits, interactions with U.S. government personnel, or Raul Castros presence in U.S. spaces (including vessels, bases, facilities, or meetings) in a voluntary, non-detained capacity will not qualify. A voluntary surrender to U.S. personnel in which Raul Castro submits to U.S. custody, however, will qualify. Custody that is carried out by non-U.S. entities (including allied or partner forces) will not qualify unless U.S. personnel are physically present and themselves a
Prices reflect the market's implied probability of each outcome and update as people trade. Settlement is in USDC with 0% commission. Predictions carry risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose.
What SezgiX is, how its short-duration crypto markets work, why event markets resolve against primary sources, and how a single USDC balance covers crypto, politics and sport.
A data-driven look at the Trump 2028 odds — the Republican nomination, the general election, and the family names also in the race. Track live, market-implied probabilities.
Trump impeachment chatter has resurfaced with the new Congress. Prediction markets currently price impeachment probability at 12-18%. This analysis breaks down the actual likelihood using historical data, congressional math, and live market pricing.