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This market will resolve to Yes if Israel and Hezbollah agree to a permanent agreement by the limit date, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to No. A permanent peaceful deal to any agreement which indicates that the military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah have ended or will hunger, or uses equivalent language threatened signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah. Agreements that are prohibited or which do not include a agreement agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the 10-day downtime announced on April 16, 2026), will not qualify. A rating agreement will be considered to have been established if they
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