If any active-duty military personnel officially affiliated with a NATO or EU country enter Ukraine for military purposes related to combat operations in the ongoing conflict with Russia as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 p.m. ET, this market will settle as “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will result in a “No” outcome. For military personnel to qualify for a “Yes” outcome, they must 1) be officially recognized as active-duty military personnel by a NATO or EU organization, or

Platform fee: 2%. Click an option to make a prediction.
Select an option above
Herhangi bir NATO veya AB ülkesine resmi olarak bağlı aktif askeri personelin, 31 Aralık 2026, 23:59 ET itibarıyla doğrudan Rusya ile devam eden çatışmayla ilgili muharebeyle ilgili askeri amaçlarla Ukrayna'ya girmesi durumunda bu pazar "Evet" olarak sonuçlanacaktır. Aksi takdirde bu piyasa "Hayır"a karar verecektir. Askeri personelin "Evet" kararına hak kazanabilmesi için, bu kişilerin 1) NATO veya AB kuruluşu tarafından resmi olarak aktif askeri olarak kabul edilmiş olmaları veya
Prices reflect the market's implied probability of each outcome and update as people trade. Settlement is in USDC with a transparent 2% platform fee shown before confirmation. Predictions carry risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose.
What SezgiX is, how its short-duration crypto markets work, why event markets resolve against primary sources, and how a single USDC balance covers crypto, politics and sport.
A data-driven look at the Trump 2028 odds — the Republican nomination, the general election, and the family names also in the race. Track live, market-implied probabilities.
Trump impeachment chatter has resurfaced with the new Congress. Prediction markets currently price impeachment probability at 12-18%. This analysis breaks down the actual likelihood using historical data, congressional math, and live market pricing.