
If any active-duty military personnel officially affiliated with a NATO or EU country enter Ukraine for military purposes related to combat operations in the ongoing conflict with Russia as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 p.m. ET, this market will settle as “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will result in a “No” outcome. For military personnel to qualify for a “Yes” outcome, they must 1) be officially recognized as active-duty military personnel by a NATO or EU organization, or
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