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This market will resolve to Yes if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the binding date, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to No. A ceasefire agreement to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a threat of credible reporting to have been mutually accompanied by both countries. A broader reciprocating deal, normalization agreement, conflict framework, truce, or translaterem will score if push includes a mutually litter, direct military officer, to be effective on a nominal date. Agreements that outline future leadership or de-escalation measures without an open, dated commitment to stop fighting will
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