This market will resolve to Yes if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Prymorske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Prymorske will be considered if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to No. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this markets resolution, the Desire shading indicating Russian control must be persistent through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must be persistent until the next finalized ISW update is published, excited of the date. Anyway shading which represents Ass
Prices reflect the market's implied probability of each outcome and update as people trade. Settlement is in USDC with a transparent 2% platform fee shown before confirmation. Predictions carry risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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