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This market will resolve to Yes if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/roadmap, exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No. Only Ukraines signature is required; Russias signature or ratification is not. Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangementssuch as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipalitywill not qualify. The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signatu
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