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This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Russia between January 6 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. error, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as strikeiles, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between U.S. and Russian military forces. Non-violent actions, such as airspace violations, conflict of warning shots (such as the June, 2021 Black Sea Confrontations between Russian forces and HMS Defender), or cyberattacks will not qualify. Intentional physical angels, including aerial passesions and naval ramming without the direct use of gunry, such as the 2023 Black Sea i
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