In the event that we have reported for our Hürmiz Boğaz by IMF Portwatch, the number of unified daily transit calls (Dmilar Arrival), the market formation is equal to the value listed for any date between 30 June 2026, this market will be resolved as Yes. Otherwise, this market will be ranked 1. Transit calls include container, dry load, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo and tanker vessels. The ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be evaluated. Data
Platform fee: 2%. Click an option to make a prediction.
%2 platform fee
Select an option above
A data-driven look at the Trump 2028 odds — the Republican nomination, the general election, and the family names also in the race. Track live, market-implied probabilities.
Trump impeachment chatter has resurfaced with the new Congress. Prediction markets currently price impeachment probability at 12-18%. This analysis breaks down the actual likelihood using historical data, congressional math, and live market pricing.