This market will resolve to Yes if the individual wins and claims the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. President. This market will resolve to No. The resolution source for this market will be asked of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will change the resolution of the market.
Prices reflect implied probabilities and change as people trade. Settlement is in USDC. The applicable platform fee is shown before confirmation. Predictions carry risk.
What SezgiX is, how its short-duration crypto markets work, why event markets resolve against primary sources, and how a single USDC balance covers crypto, politics and sport.
A data-driven look at the Trump 2028 odds — the Republican nomination, the general election, and the family names also in the race. Track live, market-implied probabilities.
Trump impeachment chatter has resurfaced with the new Congress. Prediction markets currently price impeachment probability at 12-18%. This analysis breaks down the actual likelihood using historical data, congressional math, and live market pricing.