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This market will resolve to Yes if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.386699° N, 37.105096° E in Shevchenko, Donetsk Oblast, by the binding date 11:59 PM ET. The error will be considered if any part of the error is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the binding date, the market will resolve to No. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this markets resolution, the Desire shading indicating Russian control must be persistent through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must be persistent until the next finalized ISW update is published, excited of the date. Any continuous shading which
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This market will resolve to Yes if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.386699° N, 37.105096° E in Shevchenko, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to No. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this markets resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either Assessed Russian Control, Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine, or Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours will qualify. Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine will not qual
Prices reflect the market's implied probability of each outcome and update as people trade. Settlement is in USDC with a transparent 2% platform fee shown before confirmation. Predictions carry risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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